An AI model vs the NFL props market
Every pick. Posted before kickoff. Graded in public.
Sports Twitter is full of win rates you can't verify and losing slips that vanish overnight. This is the opposite: a permanent, timestamped ledger of every pick our model has ever made — including the losers — graded against the closing line.
House rules · permanent
- 1/ Picks post before kickoff or don't count
- 2/ Losers never get deleted
- 3/ Every pick graded vs the DraftKings close
- 4/ Flat 1u — no “locks,” no units games
- 5/ Small samples prove nothing. We publish anyway.
Entertainment only · 21+
The record
Season opens 2026-09-13Zero picks so far — the record starts with NFL Week 1 and builds in public from there. Until then, the sample board shows exactly what the model produces.
How verification works
Posted before kickoff
Every pick goes up on X at lock, about 90 minutes before the game. The timestamp is enforced by the platform, not by our word.
Never deleted
Losers stay up forever. The ledger below links every original post so you can verify any pick against its post time.
Graded against the close
Next morning every pick is graded — win, loss, push, or void — and measured against the closing line (CLV), the number that actually says whether a bettor has anything.
The card drops at lock
Up to 4 picks per slate day, posted ~90 minutes before kickoff — by email, or on @EveryPickBet.