Guide
How to verify any sports betting track record
Most advertised win rates cannot be checked by anyone. Before trusting a record — a capper's, an app's, or ours — run these five checks. Each takes a minute, and a legitimate service passes all five.
1. Every pick timestamped before the game
The single non-negotiable. A pick only counts if you can prove it was published before kickoff, using a timestamp the publisher cannot edit. Posts on X work because the platform stamps them; screenshots, Discord messages that can be deleted, and “we went 8–2 last week” summaries do not. If the record lives only on the seller's own site with no external timestamps, it is a claim, not a record.
2. The losses are still there
Find a losing week and check that every losing pick is still visible, worded exactly as it was posted. The oldest trick in the picks business is quiet deletion — the record that remains is real, it is just not complete. If you cannot find losses at all, that is not a hot streak; that is curation.
3. Graded against a number that exists
Each graded pick should name the line and price at the time of posting, from a real book, and ideally the closing number too. Records graded against “consensus” lines nobody could actually bet, or with no price at all, can manufacture wins from thin air. A flat, stated stake (one unit per pick) matters for the same reason: unit accounting that changes size retroactively can turn a losing month into a winning one.
4. Void rules written down in advance
What happens when a player is inactive? When a line was posted in error? If the rules for voiding a pick are not published before the season, voids become a discretionary eraser for losses. The rules should be boring, specific, and frozen — here are ours.
5. The whole history, not a highlight reel
A record is a complete series: every pick, every week, including the stretch where the model went cold. Check that the count of graded picks matches the cadence claimed (a daily service should have hundreds per season, not forty), and that closing-line value is reported alongside win rate — here is why CLV matters more over small samples.
Apply it to us
EveryPick is built to pass these checks by construction: picks post to X before kickoff, losers are never removed, every pick records the DraftKings number and price at posting and at close, void rules are frozen on the methodology page, and the full ledger is public from pick one. We do not ask you to trust the record — we ask you to check it.