What the model actually produces

The full-slate board: the model's projection next to the FantasyPros consensus for every eligible player in a slate, edge-ranked, with the model's reasoning. This one is a practice run on real Week 1 inputs — the live Board, updated at every lock, ships with the season.

Player	Pos	Game	Model	Consensus	Edge	Why
Wan'Dale Robinson	WR	TEN v NYJ	14.4	10.1	+4.29	High-percentage target volume keeps him elevated in PPR despite limited touchdown expectation.
Bijan Robinson	RB	ATL v PIT	22.8	20.5	+2.35	Strong workload and receiving role remain intact; competitive game script supports all-purpose volume.
Cam Ward	QB	TEN v NYJ	11.7	13.8	−2.15	Low team total and modest passing environment trim consensus slightly; rushing adds limited value.
Kyle Pitts Sr.	TE	ATL v PIT	12.6	10.6	+1.97	Atlanta's favorable home scoring outlook supports steady tight-end involvement and a modest touchdown bump.
Michael Pittman Jr.	WR	PIT v ATL	9.5	11.1	−1.60	Reliable short-area role remains useful, but the matchup and moderate scoring environment cap ceiling.
Drake London	WR	ATL v PIT	16.7	15.4	+1.34	High target share and Atlanta's stronger team total support a slight boost in yardage and touchdown expectation.
Tony Pollard	RB	TEN v NYJ	11.6	10.4	+1.19	Expected lead role gives him steady touches, though Tennessee's low total caps scoring upside.
Tyjae Spears	RB	TEN v NYJ	8.9	8.4	+0.55	Change-of-pace and receiving usage remain viable, but overall volume is limited by the backfield split.
Carnell Tate	WR	TEN v NYJ	11.1	11.6	−0.47	Projected starting usage supports a meaningful target share, with the low team total tempering touchdown odds.
Jaylen Warren	RB	PIT v ATL	13.1	12.7	+0.42	Expected lead-back usage in a favorable home scoring environment supports a slight volume increase.
Geno Smith	QB	NYJ v TEN	12.4	12.8	−0.41	Road matchup and low team total create a modest efficiency downgrade, while designed or scramble rushing remains useful.
Aaron Rodgers	QB	PIT v ATL	13.5	13.2	+0.36	Pittsburgh's favorable home scoring environment supports a slight touchdown lift, with minimal rushing.
Rico Dowdle	RB	PIT v ATL	11.6	11.9	−0.33	Committee workload and modest team total keep the projection close to consensus.
Tua Tagovailoa	QB	ATL v PIT	11.3	11.6	−0.30	Neutral weather and a competitive total keep passing near consensus, with a small touchdown adjustment.
Garrett Wilson	WR	NYJ v TEN	13.9	13.8	+0.11	Volume should remain strong, but the Jets' low implied total limits scoring upside.
Breece Hall	RB	NYJ v TEN	14.3	14.2	+0.08	Low-scoring Jets outlook limits touchdown expectation, while his receiving role preserves PPR value.
DK Metcalf	WR	PIT v ATL	11.5	11.5	−0.04	Home matchup and Pittsburgh scoring outlook preserve his downfield and red-zone role, though target competition limits volume.

5 listed players fell below the consensus floor for this slate and were excluded by rule (Calvin Ridley, Omar Cooper Jr., Pat Freiermuth, Kenyon Sadiq, Gunnar Helm). Eligibility is mechanical — the model doesn't choose who it covers.